Small questions. Big disagreements.

Where do you
stand?

Eight questions from the guide. Pick a side, compare notes with other readers, and change your mind when the evidence moves.

No account needed. Reader opinions, not a scientific survey or an official verdict. How voting works ↗

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01 / The forecastOpen question

The deadline arrives. What’s your call?

Will Transformer-like models lead most NLP benchmarks on January 1, 2027? Make a prediction before the clock runs out.

Choose one answer for The deadline arrives. What’s your call?

Why we’re asking

This is a reader forecast, not the wager’s official resolution. Our countdown uses midnight UTC as a stated convention; the original terms do not specify a time zone. Voting on this forecast closes at that countdown deadline.

Read the resolution policy →
02 / The definitionOpen question

You get to write the rulebook.

Which definition of “Transformer-like” would you use to settle the debate?

Choose one answer for You get to write the rulebook.

Why we’re asking

The guide has three explicit conventions. Including hybrids or pure linear attention can change which architectures qualify without changing a single benchmark score. These are choices about the category, not claims about a universal taxonomy.

Compare the three definitions →
03 / The definitionOpen question

One part attention. Seven parts Mamba.

When you look at Jamba’s original architecture, which description feels most useful?

Choose one answer for One part attention. Seven parts Mamba.

Why we’re asking

The original Jamba configuration interleaves one attention layer with seven Mamba layers. It is excluded by our narrow convention and included by the other two. This poll asks how you would describe it; the mechanism itself is documented.

Meet the original Jamba →
04 / The forecastOpen question

One research budget. Where does it go?

You’re funding the next architecture experiment. Pick the branch you most want to see explored.

Choose one answer for One research budget. Where does it go?

Why we’re asking

These are the four documented architecture branches in this guide. Mixture-of-experts is a separate design choice: it can coexist with attention or other sequence mechanisms. A research preference is not a leaderboard ranking.

Browse the architecture families →
05 / The trade-offsOpen question

A very long document. A very small budget.

Imagine building a reading assistant for long documents. Which improvement would you prioritize?

Choose one answer for A very long document. A very small budget.

Why we’re asking

Quality, speed and memory are different axes. Our historical long-context basket measures reported answer quality using F1; it does not score all of these priorities or isolate architecture from training and hardware.

Explore the long-context comparison →
06 / The definitionOpen question

Same scores. Two different headlines.

Our long-context example changes from 2 of 5 qualifying task leaders to 5 of 5 when hybrids count. What is your main takeaway?

Choose one answer for Same scores. Two different headlines.

Why we’re asking

In Table 3 of the 2024 Jamba paper, Jamba leads three tasks and Mixtral leads two. The switch comes from reclassifying Jamba’s wins. It is a bounded, historical comparison, not a result across the current field.

Change the rules yourself →
07 / The trade-offsOpen question

What would make you change your mind?

Pick the piece of evidence you would find most persuasive about a challenger architecture.

Choose one answer for What would make you change your mind?

Why we’re asking

Our guide separates documented mechanisms from benchmark outcomes. Reported scores have limits: training data, compute, prompting and task selection can all affect a comparison. Choose your strongest signal, even if you value several.

See how the guide handles evidence →
08 / Just for funOpen question

The sequel needs a title.

If this architectural debate were a follow-up paper, what would you put on the cover?

Choose one answer for The sequel needs a title.

Why we’re asking

A bit of levity after the footnotes. These are playful, invented titles, not research papers or evidence about model performance.

Read the real research titles →

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